RACING POST SATURDAY AUGUST 27th 2011
RACING POST TODAY’S BIG TALKING POINT
RODNEY MASTERS on the big - race chance of POET’S VOICE.
“With the two anti-post market kingpins for to-day’s feature race-decamping to targets elsewhere, POET’S VOICE has by default leapt to short –priced favouritism for Goodwood’s Group 2 Betfair Celebration Mile. But will punters be taking a leap of faith in backing him?
“From a negative stance, POET’S VOICE will be racing for the first time since finishing last of 14 in the Dubai World Cup five months ago.
“While trainer Saeed Bin Suroor stated yesterday there had been nothing amiss with the colt, and that his latest workout had pleases, there was an appendage to take into consideration as the trainer stressed: “He will improve a lot from this race .”
“In Dubai in March, Frankie Dettori experienced trouble anchoring him early on . as a consequence, hope vaporised before half way and the colt was eased down soon after.
“Yesterday, thunder gave notice of the death rattle of summer and the accompanying downpours in many parts mean that a ground check will be imperative before a bet today. It may be another of those muddled days with a lengthy inventory of non runners.”
“Having taken such a strong hold, he was never going to last over 1m2f, a trip beyond his optimum judged on previous evidence from the Champion Stakes.
“When the anti-post market for today’s race developed momentum earlier in the week he was 4-1 in most listings, making him third favourite with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power. They had STRONG SUIT and ZOFFANY, now both missing, ahead of him.
“Astute punters who stepped in at 4-1 POET’S VOICE are, of course, perfectly positioned on a bet to nothing if they decide to set out their strategy that way. Many, however, may not want to lay off. You can understand their belief that POET’S VOICES positives outweigh negatives. In his two most recent races over today’s distance, POET’S VOICE showed courage under a masterful ride from DETTORI to fend off RIP VAN WINKLE for the narrowest of wins in Ascot’s Group 1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Prior to that he had taken today’s race, overwhelming odds-on MAIN AIM by four and a half lengths. With a pacemaker playmate on duty if required in EMERALD COMMANDER today, plus the likelihood of easy ground-it was soft last year and good to soft at Ascot- the temptation for those with 4-1 will be to sit tight. POET’S VOICE is the likeliest winner.
“Trainers’ title leader Richard Hannon runs DUBAWI GOLD and victory in this £100,000 will be a boost for punters who fancy him to turn over Sir Henry Cecil in a battle that William Hill view as a three-way go, as they bet 5-4 Cecil, 2-1 Hannon and 100-30 Aiden O’Brien, and quote 12-1 bar. This is one of those Saturdays where quantity matters every bit as quality, but there is a splattering of Pattern races as well as two further £100,000 contests – a handicap at Goodwood and a sales race at Newmarket. Sjould Hannon win all three valuable prizes, even he may come round to the idea that he could beat Cecil and defend his crown.
“Yesterday, thunder gave notice of the death rattle of summer and the accompanying downpours in many parts mean that a ground check will be imperative before a bet today. It may be another of those muddled days with a lengthy inventory of non runners.”
Please use this link for further info on today's racing action
http://turfcallmorningline.blogspot.com/2011/08/ch4-morning-line-link-up-with-goodwood.html
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